Our Approach
Our best chance of understanding complex problems lies in seeing them through dragonfly eyes
Dragonflies have compound eyes made up of thousands of lenses.
They integrate these lenses to give themselves almost 360-degree vision. Among the world’s most successful predators, dragonflies catch around 95% of their prey, thanks to their ability to predict where their prey is going and to respond to change mid-flight with agility.
Dragonfly Thinking™ allows us to better navigate complexity by seeing the world through multiple lenses, integrating many perspectives into a coherent vision, and making clear-sighted decisions informed by greater foresight. These qualities form the basis of our structured analytic techniques and AI tools.
The Power of Dragonfly Thinking
Political scientist and psychologist Philip Tetlock has found that what distinguishes the best forecasters in the world is their ability to see through “dragonfly eyes.”
Experts in specific disciplines and domains often exhibit limited predictive accuracy, attributable to their tendency to over-emphasize a single lens of analysis.
Superforecasters, by contrast, develop more holistic understandings of complexity by seeking out and integrating multiple perspectives. They are experts in dragonfly thinking.
